Sunday, February 10, 2008

The "Inevitable" Machine Creaks

So, I hear that Hillary Clinton has had a hierarchical shake-up in her campaign. Apparently, according to CNN, the campaign has been sending mixed messages to different states, they don't know who's in charge. Sounds pretty bad. After seeing that report, something dawned on me that might tell me how this election might fare.

This most recent news, coupled along with news that Sen. Clinton had to loan her own campaign $5 million, has not fared well for the former First Lady. While these shake-ups and stop-gaps are dotting the Clinton campaign, it seems that the Obama campaign can't even spend all the money he has gotten. On the same day that Clinton disclosed her investment, it was revealed that Senator Obama had raised $3 million, not only in one day, but all on the internet. These things don't seem to bode well for Hillary Clinton.

If anyone remembers how she started this race, it was clear and dominant. She lead national polls (she still does today, but not by near as much), and was seen as a somewhat inevitable pick for the Democratic nominee. That may be why her campaign looks like it's faltering now. Early in the race, where money was plentiful, it probably wasn't that important who was in charge at the campaign or how the money was spent. Nobody expected a long primary campaign. I think with these news bits, it's showing that the Clinton campaign is faltering at a protracted campaign. The first assumption of economics is the scaracity of resources. Everything will run out at some time. With the last two nights handing Barack Obama every state voting, whether it's a caucus in Nebraska or Louisiana, one might expect that resources are running out for Sen. Clinton.

I hope the Clinton campaign can figure something out. The way Obama craziness is spreading, they may not have much more time left.

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