Thursday, April 24, 2008

And the race drags on...


This week's Economist.com KAL cartoon.


As you might have heard, Hillary Clinton won Pennsylvania on Tuesday. I was hoping for her to lose so that this race could be over. So, that didn't happen. Instead she's still in the race, brandishing her unique brand of populism. Chris Matthews suggested that Obama be more of a "firebrand" and a "torch-bearer" speaking for the working man. It really made me think about the contrast of this race. If you know some political science, then you know that the bulk of the voters are in the center. On the extreme left and extreme right are the minority. Most of the time the one who becomes elected President is the one most successful in collecting the majority of the center (moderates). But, this isn't so in these Primaries, why not?.

It seems that both Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama used to be far more center than they are today. Perhaps it was their centrist appeal that made them each "inevitable," albeit it at different times. Hillary was unstoppable when she declared her candidacy in 2006. How far she has fallen. Barack Obama seemed inevitable after a decisive Wisconsin vote, remember? Then a shellacking in Ohio, Texas(popular vote) and lately, Pennsylvania. It seems they've each flown from the center to the left. It seems the longer this race goes on, the more populist it becomes.

Look at the key issues, Universal Health Care, the Economy and good ole fashioned gossip! Each of these issues offers a vision for a better tomorrow, what they fail to mention is the cost. Populist sermons tend to leave out those pesky details. But who really cares about that when we hear that someone's preacher gave a bad sermon, or that someone conjured up memories of past battle in Bosnia? This is what the race has come down to: who can appeal most to both a populist media (Thank you Glenn Beck, Chris Matthews and Lou Dobbs), and a blue-collar worker who just lost his job. This is a recipe for some government intevention. That is why Hillary Clinton will be the next FDR.

Social Programs, Price Controls (she proposed them in her previous medical care plan in 1994), and so on can be relied upon if she is elected. She will have a friendly congress, she will probably have a friendly majority. Spend, Spend, Spend. Historically, this has gotten us into big trouble. We're just coming off a spending Republican Congress and President. In with a spending Democrat? I may not like either candidate right now, but I can't see Hillary as president, it's a scary proposition. I just hope the one who is the least left wins. Democrat or Republican, our economy will thank you in the end.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

I think everyone was hoping Pennsylvania would be the death nail in this primary race. Unfortunately we're forced to listen to Hillary babble for another month...

dcmart said...

With her soothing, raspy voice...mmmm, like a siren song!